Carbon dioxide, essential in the food industry, could run short again without a new production deal.
Graham Watson's insight:
Further confirmation of what I've already 'scooped' - there's a threat to CO2 supplies, and by definition, a number of sectors of industry. Another lovely example of derived demand.
The business secretary says companies will have a sustainable supply of CO2 even as gas prices rise.
Graham Watson's insight:
And it seems that the government has also secured supplies of carbon dioxide until the new year, with CF Industries having been in talks with the Department for Business. Allegedly.
However, there's a kicker buried in the press release that suggests that food companies are going to have to look for "alternative suppliers" in 2022. So, a temporary reprieve it would seem. And presumably any shortage in the new year will all be the fault of business.
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Shortage of carbon dioxide – used in meat industry and for fizzy drinks – is result of record energy prices
Graham Watson's insight:
Good news - the boss of Iceland argues that the ongoing CO2 crisis could hit the UK's food supply sooner rather than later. I'm going to suggest that it could happen sooner than that. Supermarket shelves have been empty for weeks, and, empirically, one of Birmingham's busiest petrol stations was nearly out of petrol at 9.45pm last night - suggesting that getting tanker drivers is starting to affect that sector too.
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Producers say shoppers’ bills could rise as supply problems loom amid high gas prices
Graham Watson's insight:
Here we go again: the government's original intervention to support the CO2 industry is due to end at the end of January and there's no intention to extend it. The original hope was that the original deal was introduced to try and buy a bit of time for the industry to find alternative supplies of food grade carbon dioxide.
It doesn't seem as though this has happened, although CF Fertilisers, one of the UK's largest suppliers of the gas, who produce CO2 in Billingham have contingency plans in place. That said, these don't look to be enough to ensure that only priority sectors such as the NHS, the nuclear industry and poultry slaughter can be assured of supplies, with other groups, notably brewers, potentially struggling to get the gas.
CO2 problem not yet taken into account, so there could be a second wave of rises in new year
Graham Watson's insight:
And just when it couldn't get any better for the government, evidence from the supply chain suggests that the shortage of CO2 hasn't yet fed through into supermarket prices, and so the prospect of a 5% increase in the near term, followed by a second wave of price increase in the new year, doesn't look good for short-term inflationary prospects.
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Further confirmation of what I've already 'scooped' - there's a threat to CO2 supplies, and by definition, a number of sectors of industry. Another lovely example of derived demand.