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The second bulletin on 2024 harvest forecasting in the Mediterranean region has been released. Overall negative outlook, especially for soft wheat After an end of winter unusually warm and dry, significant and often well-distributed rainfalls during spring are leading to favourable weather conditions for crop development in...
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The latest newsletter highlights are: - 10th anniversary of MED-Amin;
- Current Drought conditions in the Mediterranean Basin;
- Farmers' protests and the profitability concern production costs surge;
- Surge of cereals imports in MENA countries;
- Decline of global food prices, including cereal-based;
- Recommendations on the implementation of food systems transformation
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Chinese wheat importers have cancelled or postponed about one million metric tons of Australian wheat cargoes, trade sources with direct knowledge of the deals said, as growing world stockpiles drag down prices.
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Over half a billion tons of grains, oilseeds, rice and pulses are transhipped annually via seaborne routes around the world. Owing to its solid reliability and cost efficiency, the maritime transportation of agricultural commodities has expanded over time, exerting increasing pressure on a small number of global ‘chokepoints’ – critical junctures with limited throughput capacity which accommodate exceptional volumes of trade flows.
Over the past several years, the functioning of some of the world’s major chokepoints has been negatively impacted by a number of...
In every Egyptian home, the first act of love is paralleled with food. It is fuul and taameya on a Friday morning, molokhiya as a staple dish in every ezouma (gathering), and the versatility of feteer meshaltet (Egyptian pastry) that epitomize the rich tapestry of Egyptian cuisine, where each dish tells a story of tradition,
Severe lack of rain and poor maintenance of irrigation facilities have led to water rationing affecting more than 800,000 citizens. Sicily has declared a state of emergency as the region experiences its worst drought in almost 20 years. A lack of winter rainfall after last year's hot summer has left supplies running low. Experts say it could be the third worst water crisis ever recorded on the island. Reservoirs are drying up, water is being rationed and farmers are reporting failed crops.
Depuis une vingtaine d’années, l’irrigation a permis l’apparition en Algérie de nouvelles régions agricoles. Des fronts pionniers qui ont permis une plus grande offre en produits agricoles. En cette période de début de ramadan, celui apparu depuis 4 ans dans les Nememcha (Khenchela) est particulièrement riche en potentialité. D’une région désertique, cette région est devenue en l’espace de quatre ans, un véritable océan de verdure.
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At the end of February, conditions are mixed for wheat, maize, and soybeans, while favourable for rice. Winter wheat in the northern hemisphere wheat begins to break winter dormancy in the southern regions. Maize conditions are mixed for Brazil, northern Argentina, South Africa, and Mexico. Rice conditions are generally favourable, albeit with some dry conditions in Thailand, the Philippines and southern India. Soybean conditions are mixed due to the impacts of earlier hot and dry weather in Brazil and northern Argentina.
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From the United Kingdom to India, from Spain to the borders of Ukraine, farmers across the world have been expressing their discontent. While the actual triggers of the protests might differ, farmers seem to be driven by similar fears and frustrations, with possible repercussions for global food security. The common underlying cause appears to be compensation, often perceived as inadequate by farmers, who cite the difficulties they face in covering escalating costs for inputs such as energy, fertilizers, and transport. Profitability concerns have become more evident as most commodity prices have declined from their 2022 peaks, and shipping disruptions in the Panama Canal, the Red Sea and elsewhere alter the competitiveness of different product origins.
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Dans le contexte de la fin des négociations commerciales entre transformateurs industriels et enseignes de la grande distribution, plusieurs publications récentes éclairent les enjeux liés aux prix agricoles et alimentaires, qu’il s’agisse des marchés mondiaux
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This paper proposes how drought management may be more sustainable in the Mediterranean region in order to face climate change. This paper collects information on the extraordinary efforts to manage drought in the region, highlighting how policies and investments in data and monitoring, as well as climate change, have defined the progress of drought management efforts. These crucial efforts may not be sustainable under highly likely short-term changes in climate and society. This paper proposes to include more explicitly lessons from managing common resources and from risk management, to guide the evolution of more sustainable drought management in the Mediterranean region. This research highlights the importance of ...
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Socioeconomic and climate change are both essential factors affecting the global cultivation distributions of crops. However, the role of socioeconomi…
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Access 135+ million publications and connect with 20+ million researchers. Join for free and gain visibility by uploading your research.
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The first bulletin on 2024 harvest forecasting in the Mediterranean region has been released. Winter anomalies primarily impacting the western MED-Amin regions The start into the 2024 cereal campaign was predominantly affected by prolonged dry weather conditions in the...
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L’Espagne, le sud de la France, la majorité de l’Italie, Malte, Chypre, une partie de la Roumanie, de la Grèce ou de la Turquie : le manque d’eau oblige déjà à des rationnements et affecte l’agriculture et le tourisme.
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EU’s environmental policy is root cause of farmer protests, officials say
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La Confederación Hidrográfica del Segura ha declarado la sequía extraordinaria en la cuenca del Segura que permitirá abrir pozos.
En première ligne du changement climatique, désigné même comme hotspot des hotspots, le bassin méditerranéen est entrée dans une période délicate. Et les choix du passé peuvent coûter, aujourd’hui, très cher. La tomate marocaine en sait quelque chose. C’est le fil du mercredi 24 janvier 2024.
Le Maroc vit une sécheresse marquée qui dure depuis cinq années consécutives. Celle-ci dévoile à ceux qui feindraient encore de l’ignorer i) la nature semi-aride à aride du climat qui sévit sur la majeure partie du territoire national, et ii) les impacts directs du changement climatique sur ce pays. Face à ces évolutions évidentes, comment le secteur agricole du Maroc doit-il se comporter ? Quelles politiques publiques avisées pourraient-elles lui permettre de s’adapter, afin qu’il s’acquitte de ses missions essentielles de garantie de la sécurité alimentaire, de création d’emplois et de revenus pour les millions de personnes qui lui sont liées et aussi d’entretien de la diversité des territoires dans la multitude de zones agro-écologiques dont regorge notre pays ? Cet écrit se propose de répondre à ces questions complexes, en se basant sur les connaissances émanant du savoir scientifique.
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The February edition of the JRC MARS Bulletin - Global outlook for North Africa – highlighted in the western countries of North Africa a cereal yield potential which have been severely affected by drought. In particular, well-below-average crop biomass accumulation was observed in most of the main cereal-growing regions of Morocco and the north-western and central regions of Algeria, and a marked delay in winter crop sowing was recorded in Algeria, Tunisia and western Libya...
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In the Middle East and North Africa,dry conditions since the beginning of the season have impacted wheat development in most west and central areas of North Africa, and poor conditions have resulted in Morocco and Algeria. Conversely, good rainfall outcomes have generally benefitted crop biomass in the Middle East.
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France Stratégie, OFCE, laboratoires de recherche, think tanks : les organismes intervenant dans les champs de l’évaluation et de l’analyse économique sont nombreux. Dans un rapport remis en novembre 2023 à la Première ministre, Jean-Luc Tavernier
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G. Ollivier, P. Gasselin et V. Batifol (Inrae) consacrent un article à la présence médiatique du thème de la « coexistence des modèles agricoles et alimentaires », sur la période 2017-2021. L’analyse du corpus permet
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The COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian–Ukrainian war have significantly impacted global supply chains, including the food supply chain, in numerous countries. As one of the leading wheat importers, Egypt has been adversely affected by the simultaneous occurrence of these two events. Baladi bread is an integral part of the daily diet in Egypt, so any disruption affecting its availability can have a severe impact on the country’s food security. This study aims to simulate the causes and effects of potential disruptions that could occur, such as increased transportation time, unavailability of sourcing, and surge in demand due to lockdowns and panic buying. The East Cairo region was chosen as a case study to model the Baladi bread supply chain. A discrete-event simulation model was developed using ...
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The objective of this research was to assess the effectiveness of the innovation platform (IP) (Terbol Station) on the wheat seed sector in Lebanon. Data were collected from 16 seed producers after identifying and mapping the key stakeholders in the seed sector. Descriptive statistics was used to categorize and evaluate the efficacy of the innovation platform by identifying six groups: seed availability and access, knowledge and training, seed production and market impact, incentives, joint planning, and the situation of the seed sector in Lebanon. Incentives and joint planning were found to be the primary groups of the IP that the farmers emphasized their importance. The correlation between different groups was found to be statistically significant. Farmers noted that the wheat seed sector is non-profitable and, therefore, needs financial support and joint planning of the value chain. The study recommends the intervention of the government and the Ministries of Agriculture and Economy & Trade by custo
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DOWNLOAD: https://www.med-amin.org/fr/ressources/bulletinprev/470-med-amin-forecasting-bulletin-2024-1-en/file